budget-fy-23

2nd generation reform way to go forward, economists say

The government has to initiate a number of second generation reforms in the coming budget for the fiscal year 2023-24, said a noted economist at a pre-budget discussion on Saturday.

The fiscal layout is being happened amid impact of global economic downturn, dollar crisis and so on.

“Despite all challenges, reform is the only way to go forward,” said Dr Ahsan H Mansur, Executive Director of the Policy Research Institute of Bangladesh in a keynote speech.

He said the government has to undertake series of structural reform programmes in areas like banking and financial sector, trade facilitation, trade policy reform, affordable green housing for urban residents, green growth strategy, generation of renewable or green energy, etc.

“We hope, along with mobilisation of external financing the government will make serious efforts in initiating the much-desired second generation reforms,” he said.

Dr Mansur made the remarks while speaking at a discussion organised by Bangladesh-Malaysia Chamber of Commerce and Industries (BMCCI) in city’s Gulshan Club on Saturday.

Mr Mansur said social expenditure must be protected and increased in the next budget. The increasing debt servicing is a matter of great concern.

He also underscored equal facilities for remitters and exporters.

He said uncertainty of tax regimes is obstacles for both domestic and foreign investment. He recommended setting common bonded warehouse to promote export of leather goods in nontraditional market including Malaysia.

Planning Minister M A Mannan also spoke at the discussion as the chief guest.

The planning minister said the Russia-Ukraine war, global energy price hike, and interest rate hike by US Fed have impacted our economy.

Due to these reasons, Bangladesh Bank has taken cautionary measures in terms of import and LC opening. So, our reserve is still quite stable, he added.

He also said that as our tax-to-GDP ratio is not satisfactory and our revenue collection is also low, therefore, we have no other alternative but to increase the tax net.

He underscored the importance of tax automation, simplification of the taxation system, and the use of technology.

The minister also said agriculture, leather, light engineering, pharmaceuticals and other important sectors should get the same facilities as the RMG sector gets.

He also emphasised product diversification of our exportable items to be competitive after LDC graduation. Moreover, the next budget won’t be an over-ambitious one, he added.

He said in all indices, like remittance, export, foreign exchange reserve and FDI Bangladesh’s growth in the last six months was not negative.

Syed Nasim Manzur, President, Leathergoods and Footwear Manufacturers and Exporters Association of Bangladesh (LFMEAB) said Bangladesh is gradually losing competitiveness due to gradual increase of business cost.

He urged the NBR not to burden the taxpayers instead of increasing net of tax for meeting the revenue target.

BMCCI President Syed Almas Kabir moderated the programme.

He said only 3 million people submit their tax returns every year. The number should be expanded.

He also requested to reduce corporate tax for non-listed companies and enhance the tax-free income limit for the individual from the existing 0.3 to 0.5 million considering the current inflation and cost of living.

M A Momen, Vice President of Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FBCCI), Barrister Sameer Sattar, President, Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Anwarul Alam Chowdhury, President, Bangladesh Chamber of Industries, Mohammad Ali Khokon, President, Bangladesh Textile Mills Association (BTMA), Dr Muhammad Abdul Mazid, Former Chairman of NBR & Adviser of SEACO Foundation also spoke among others.

Speakers of the session stressed internal resource mobilisation and digitisation or automation of the taxation system.

Source: The Finencial Express 

global_currency

Experts call for reform to Arbitration Act to attract more foreign investment

Bangladesh needs to reform the Arbitration Act to improve the ease of doing business and attract more foreign direct investment (FDI), representatives from the business community, and legal experts said at a seminar yesterday.

They also stressed the need for a stable business environment with an efficient dispute resolution system for attracting FDI into the country.

Speaking at the event – “Revisiting Arbitration Act for Promoting FDI in Bangladesh” organised by the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DCCI) at its Auditorium – as chief guest, Law Minister Anisul Huq said alternative dispute resolution mechanisms could provide faster access to justice.

“The Arbitration Act 2001 may be revised,” he said and urged the business community to use ADR.

He added that the government was committed to making business-friendly rules and regulations.

British High Commissioner in Bangladesh Robert Chatterton Dickson, who attended the seminar as a special guest, praised Bangladesh’s progress over the past two decades and highlighted the need for reforms of the Arbitration Act to improve the ease of doing business and attract more FDI overcoming the challenges the country will face after graduation from the LDC status in 2026.

He emphasised that foreign investors need investment protection and faster dispute resolution processes and that reforms of commercial laws, as seen in India, could be a good example for Bangladesh to follow.

Enforcement of contracts remained the key challenge in improving the business climate in Bangladesh, he said, adding that once the country will work closely with international investors, regulatory and policy reforms with systematic improvement need to continue on this business climate improvement trajectory.

DCCI President Barrister Md Sameer Sattar stressed that a stable business environment with an efficient dispute resolution system is necessary for attracting FDI.

He called for the establishment of a legal framework that enables swift and efficient contract enforcement, particularly in the context of cross-border commercial disputes.

Barrister Ashraful Hadi, an advocate of the Supreme Court of Bangladesh, presented the keynote paper at the seminar and recommended that the arbitral tribunal should have the same power as the court.

He also called for the definition of “court” under the Arbitration Act 2001 to include the High Court in respect of international commercial arbitration, as well as the digitalisation of payment methods for stamp duty and the establishment of a central database for arbitration proceedings.

Zaved Akhtar, CEO of Unilever Bangladesh Ltd, said that arbitration needs specialised resources and an understanding of different aspects as well.

He also proposed a smart arbitration model with a digitised mechanism. Moreover, awareness is very crucial to make it more familiar among the business community, he said.

Yasir Azman, CEO of Grameenphone Ltd, highlighted the importance of predictability, certainty, and protection of investment in arbitration.

He called for reforms to the Arbitration Act 2001 and emphasised the need for digitalisation and technology to expedite the arbitration process.

Promod Nair, an advocate from India, shared how India has made amendments to their Arbitration Act, resulting in an improvement in their position in the ease of doing business index.

He explained that India has separate commercial courts to deal with business disputes and has identified specific time limits and fees for each arbitration proceeding.

He also mentioned India’s online dispute resolution mechanism, which reduces costs and time.

Source: The Business Standard
Bangladesh-Bank-BB-Daily-Bangladesh-2204211221

Bangladesh Bank sets new lending rate formula

10 banks warned for offering higher remittance rate than the Bafeda-set rate

The Bangladesh Bank has set a new lending rate formula for commercial banks in which the rate will be fixed based on the weighted average rate of a six-month treasury bill plus a 3% premium.

Bankers were informed about the new formula in a meeting presided over by Bangladesh Bank Governor Abdur Rouf Talukder on Sunday.

The new formula, dubbed “smart short-term moving average rate”, will come into effect in July this year, lifting the single-digit lending rate cap.

Currently, the six-month treasury bill rate stands at 6.99%, and adding a 3% premium to this will result in a lending rate of 9.99%.

Md Mezbaul Haque, executive director and spokesperson of the Bangladesh Bank while briefing reporters after the bankers’ meeting said there are two or three auctions of six-month treasury bills every month and the central bank will set a weighted average rate from those auction rates and additional 3% will be added to it for commercial lending.

He said the new formula will be announced in the next monetary policy that will be announced this June. The central bank will declare the lending rate every month, he added.

Mentioning that a 3% corridor rate, or premium, might be added to the current weighted average treasury bill interest rate (6.99%) in setting the new lending rate, he said the central bank will determine how this rate will be.

“The corridor rate is also variable, it is not fixed,” he, however, said, adding that the central bank will fix this rate after reviewing the market.

“This is because, if the treasury bill rate comes down to 1%, then it will not be possible for any bank to give out loans at 4% interest by adding a 3% corridor rate to the 1% treasury bill rate,” he maintained.

The central bank is doing some more experiments, said Mezbaul and added that announcements in this regard will be made in the forthcoming monetary policy.

“Everything else will be determined by the commercial banks based on the customer-banker relationship,” he said.

He further said that the central bank will also set the highest ceiling of interest rate on consumer loans.

Currently, the central bank is monitoring the opening of import letters of credit (LCs) worth $3 million or above as part of its measure to save dollars amid volatility in the foreign currency market, noted Mezbaul.

“Our main objective is to fix pricing, so as to resist overpriced imports. And we observe that currently 1,500-2,200 LCs are being opened daily as before, but the value of LCs has decreased to $5.5 billion per month from $8.5 billion due to our monitoring. We think this is our big success.”

Now the central bank is focusing on export value, he said, adding, “We want to see if we are getting the right prices for the exported products.”

On the dollar rate, he said, “We are already close to implementing the single rate. The single rate, however, does not mean one rate but all the rates will be within the 2% band. Although all the dollar exchange rates including on remittances and export proceeds have come within the 2% band, the dollar selling rate of the central bank is still low. We will gradually make it market-based.”

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has suggested that the Bangladesh Bank go for a flexible interest rate targeting-based monetary policy, shifting from its monetary targeting framework as the existing model has been unable to check inflation through money supply targets only, amid an onslaught of external factors.

The IMF mission came up with the suggestion when visiting Bangladesh in November last year as part of a discussion over the terms and conditions of a prospective $4.5 billion loan sought by the Bangladesh government.

The central bank agreed to transform its monetary policy framework gradually by 2026.

The IMF suggested lifting the lending rate cap and going for a new monetary policy framework, which the Bangladesh Bank agreed to. As part of that agreement, the central bank has set a new lending rate formula.

10 banks warned for ignoring Bafeda-set remittance rate

In the bankers’ meeting, the Bangladesh Bank strictly instructed commercial banks not to offer a higher rate than the rate set by the Bangladesh Foreign Exchange Dealers Association (Bafeda), said a meeting source.

Some banks offered the dollar rate up to Tk117 for remittance while the Bafeda-set rate is Tk107, according to industry insiders.

According to the meeting source, the governor warned of auditing the banks which offered higher rates to remitters ignoring the set rate. In the audits, the central bank will look at whether those banks passed the higher remittance cost to importers, fueling inflation.

The central bank held a separate meeting with 10 banks that were identified for ignoring the Bafeda rate.

In the meeting, bankers admitted that they offered higher rates to avoid default in LC payments amid the dollar crisis, according to the meeting source. They committed to not ignoring the Bafeda rate in the future.

Bankers in the meeting claimed that though they bought remittances at a higher price they sold dollars to importers and exporters at a lower rate taking losses on their own, said the meeting source. In this perspective, the central bank will audit if they are telling the truth.

While speaking with The Business Standard, a private commercial banker said that some 26 banks ignored the Bafeda rate but only 10 were summoned to the meeting. The 10 banks promised that they will not ignore the rate and if others do the same, discipline will be restored in the market, he added.

He also said that his bank incurred an operating loss of nearly Tk90 crore in four months from December last year to March this year from exchange loss. This is because, he said, the bank bought remittances at a higher rate but settled LC at a lower rate.

Banks had to offer higher remittance rates as Bangladesh Bank supplies 10% of their dollar demand, he further said.

Further explaining why banks had to offer higher remittance rates, the banks told TBS that his bank used to receive remittances to the tune of $70 million to $80 million per month previously, which came down to $18 million after the Bafeda set the remittance rate. As a result, the bank fell short of nearly $70 million dollars monthly for LC payments. In this situation, his bank offered a higher rate to meet LC payment requirements.

He went on to say that the average monthly payment of every bank currently stands at $150 million to $250 million, but the figure will come down to nearly $50 million to $60 million from June due to a fall in fresh LC opening. As a result, banks will no longer need to offer higher rates.

How dollar rate impact remittance inflow

Some banks which followed the Bafeda rate lost half of their remittance inflow as remitters switched to other banks which offered a higher rate.

For instance, remittance inflow through Eastern Bank fell to less than $1 million in March which was nearly $9 million in September last year as the bank offered the Bafeda rate.

On the other hand, National Bank, one of the 10 banks which offered a higher rate than that set by Bafeda, saw a 122% rise in remittance inflow in March from September last year.

The bank received $81 million in remittances in March which was $36 million in September last year, central bank data shows.

Total remittance inflow through the banking channel dipped to below $2 billion in September last year after Bafeda set the remittance rate at Tk107 as remitters were getting above Tk110 per dollar in the informal channel.

In this situation, banks fell into a severe dollar crisis and went for offering higher rates to catch the dollar, said industry insiders.

Source: The Business Standard

Dollar

কঠিন শর্তে আরও চীনা ঋণ নিচ্ছে সরকার

ডলার

ডলার
ছবি: সংগৃহীত

আবারও চীনের কাছ থেকে কঠিন শর্তে ৫০ কোটি ডলারের বেশি ঋণ নিচ্ছে বাংলাদেশ। রাজশাহী ওয়াসার পানি শোধনাগার এবং নৌপরিবহন মন্ত্রণালয়ের জাহাজ কেনার প্রকল্পে এ অর্থ আসছে। এর মধ্যে রাজশাহী ওয়াসার পানি শোধনাগার প্রকল্পের ঋণের দর-কষাকষি শেষ। আগামী মাসে ঋণচুক্তি হবে। অন্যটির দর-কষাকষি এখনো চূড়ান্ত হয়নি। এ দুটি প্রকল্পে সব মিলিয়ে পাঁচ হাজার কোটি টাকার বেশি ঋণ নেওয়া হচ্ছে।

এসব ঋণের শর্ত হলো চীনের এক্সিম ব্যাংকই প্রকল্পের ঠিকাদার ঠিক করে দেবে। সুদের হার সোয়া ২ শতাংশের মতো হলেও ঋণ পরিশোধের সময় মাত্র ১৫ বছর। এ ছাড়া গ্রেস পিরিয়ড পাঁচ বছর। অর্থাৎ ২০২৩ সালে ঋণচুক্তি হলে ২০২৭ সাল থেকে ঋণ পরিশোধ শুরু হবে। ঋণ পরিশোধের সময়সীমা বেশ কম বলে ঋণের কিস্তির পরিমাণ তুলনামূলক বেশি হয়। বিশ্বব্যাংক, এশীয় উন্নয়ন ব্যাংকের (এডিবি) মতো সংস্থা থেকে ঋণ নিলে ৩০-৩৫ বছরে পরিশোধ করতে হয়।

আরও পড়ুন

চীনা ঋণ নিয়ে ধীরে চলো নীতি

চীনা ঋণ নিয়ে ধীরে চলো নীতি

অর্থনৈতিক সম্পর্ক বিভাগ (ইআরডি) সূত্রে জানা গেছে, রাজশাহী ওয়াসার জন্য ভূ–উপরিস্থ পানি শোধনাগার স্থাপনের জন্য চীনের এক্সিম ব্যাংকের কাছ থেকে সাড়ে ২৭ কোটি ডলার ঋণ নেওয়া হচ্ছে। গত সপ্তাহে এক্সিম ব্যাংক ও ইআরডির কর্মকর্তারা এ ঋণ নিয়ে দর-কষাকষি চূড়ান্ত হয়েছে। এখন ঋণচুক্তির দলিলপত্র তৈরি করা হচ্ছে। আগামী এপ্রিল মাসের মধ্যেই উভয় পক্ষের মধ্যে ঋণচুক্তি হবে বলে আশা প্রকাশ করছেন ইআরডির কর্মকর্তারা। প্রায় সাড়ে চার বছর ধরে এ দর-কষাকষি হয়েছে।

‘২০১৮ সালের ইআরডির এক চিঠির ভিত্তিতে আমরা হুনান কনস্ট্রাকশন ইঞ্জিনিয়ারিং গ্রুপ করপোরেশনের সঙ্গে কাজ শুরু করি। আমরাই সম্ভাব্যতা যাচাই, প্রকল্প নকশাসহ সব করেছি, ওই কোম্পানির কর্মকর্তারা শুধু পরামর্শ দিয়েছেন। চীনের এক্সিম ব্যাংকই এই ঠিকাদার ঠিক করে দিয়েছে।

পারভেজ মামুদ, পরিচালক ও রাজশাহী ওয়াসার প্রধান প্রকৌশলী

অন্যদিকে দুই বছর ধরে বাংলাদেশ শিপিং করপোরেশনের জন্য ছয়টি জাহাজ কেনার প্রকল্প নিয়ে আলোচনা শেষ হয়নি। এ প্রকল্পে ২৫ কোটি ডলারের ঋণচুক্তি হতে পারে। ঋণচুক্তি হলে চার বছরের মধ্যে এসব জাহাজ সরবরাহ করবে চীন। এটা সরবরাহকারী ঋণ। চীন টাকা দেবে, জাহাজও দেবে।

এ বিষয়ে যোগাযোগ করা হলেও ইআরডি থেকে আনুষ্ঠানিক কোনো বক্তব্য পাওয়া যায়নি। তবে ইআরডির কর্মকর্তারা জানিয়েছেন, ঠিকাদার নিয়োগ, কাজের মান, সুদের হার, ঋণ পরিশোধের সীমা—এসব বিদেশি সহায়তাপুষ্ট অন্য প্রকল্প থেকে ভিন্ন। তাই সংবেদনশীলতা বিবেচনায় দর-কষাকষিতে সময় লাগে।

এ বিষয়ে বড় অবকাঠামো বিশেষজ্ঞ ও সাবেক সচিব মুহাম্মদ ফাওজুল কবির খান প্রথম আলোকে বলেন, ‘চীনের ঋণ যতটা না আমাদের সহায়তা করার জন্য, এর চেয়ে চীনের ব্যবসা সম্প্রসারণই মূল উদ্দেশ্য। যেমন, রাজশাহীর ওয়াসার ওই প্রকল্পে চীনা ঠিকাদার কাজ করবে, চীনের জিনিসপত্র ব্যবহার করা হবে। প্রকৌশলী, পরামর্শক—সব চীনের। ঋণের সিংহভাগ অর্থ আবার চীনে ফেরত যাবে। যেহেতু কোনো প্রতিযোগিতার মাধ্যমে ঠিকাদার ঠিক করা হয় না, তাই প্রকৃত খরচের তুলনায় অনেক বেশি খরচ হয়। কাজের মান নিয়েও প্রশ্ন উঠতে পারে।’ তিনি জানান, এক সমীক্ষায় দেখা গেছে, এ ধরনের কঠিন শর্তের ঋণের প্রকল্পে ১৫-২৫ শতাংশ বাড়তি খরচ হয়।

ঋণ চূড়ান্ত হওয়ার আগেই চীনা ঠিকাদার

২০১৮ সালের জুলাই মাসে রাজশাহী ওয়াসার জন্য ভূ–উপরিস্থ পানি শোধনাগার স্থাপনের জন্য ৪ হাজার ৬২ কোটি টাকার প্রকল্প নেওয়া হয়েছিল। গোদাগাড়ীতে এ শোধনাগার হবে। প্রকল্পটি পাসের সময় বলা হয়েছিল, চীনা ঋণ পাওয়া সাপেক্ষে প্রকল্পটি বাস্তবায়ন করা হয়। মেয়াদ ধরা হয়েছিল ২০২২ সালের জুন মাস পর্যন্ত। চীনের ঋণের অর্থ এখনো না পাওয়ায় এত দিন প্রকল্পটির কাজ শুরু করা যায়নি। ইতিমধ্যে প্রকল্পটির মেয়াদ ২০২৪ সালের জুন মাস পর্যন্ত বাড়ানো হয়েছে আর ঋণের আলোচনাও শেষ হয়েছে।

চীনের ঋণ পাওয়ার বিষয়টি এত দিন চূড়ান্ত না হলেও চার বছর আগেই চীনা ঠিকাদার হুনান কনস্ট্রাকশন ইঞ্জিনিয়ারিং গ্রুপ করপোরেশন এ প্রকল্পের সঙ্গে সম্পৃক্ত হয়ে যায়। চীনের এক্সিম ব্যাংক এই ঠিকাদার ঠিক করে দেয়। ঠিকাদারি কোম্পানি সম্ভাব্যতা যাচাই, প্রকল্প পরিকল্পনা, খরচ—সবকিছুতে পরামর্শ দেয়। পরে ২০২১ সালের মার্চ মাসে রাজশাহী ওয়াসা এবং চীনা ঠিকাদার হুনান কনস্ট্রাকশন ইঞ্জিনিয়ারিং গ্রুপ করপোরেশনের মধ্যে আনুষ্ঠানিক চুক্তি স্বাক্ষর হয়। কিন্তু তখনো চীনের এক্সিম ব্যাংক থেকে ঋণ পাওয়া নিয়ে দর-কষাকষি শেষ হয়নি, অর্থপ্রাপ্তি নিশ্চিত হয়নি।

এ বিষয়ে প্রকল্প পরিচালক ও রাজশাহী ওয়াসার প্রধান প্রকৌশলী পারভেজ মামুদ প্রথম আলোকে বলেন, ‘২০১৮ সালের ইআরডির এক চিঠির ভিত্তিতে আমরা হুনান কনস্ট্রাকশন ইঞ্জিনিয়ারিং গ্রুপ করপোরেশনের সঙ্গে কাজ শুরু করি। আমরাই সম্ভাব্যতা যাচাই, প্রকল্প নকশাসহ সব করেছি, ওই কোম্পানির কর্মকর্তারা শুধু পরামর্শ দিয়েছেন। চীনের এক্সিম ব্যাংকই এই ঠিকাদার ঠিক করে দিয়েছে। ঋণের অর্থ না পাওয়ায় এখনো মূল কাজ শুরু করতে পারিনি। যেহেতু চীনা ঋণের দর-কষাকষি চূড়ান্ত হয়ে গেছে, তাই অর্থ পেলে আগামী দুই বছরের মধ্যে কাজ শেষ করতে পারব।’

সীমিত পরিসরে দরপত্র

গত ডিসেম্বর মাসে সীমিত পরিসরে দরপত্র বা লিমিটেড টেন্ডারিং মেথডের (এলটিএম) মাধ্যমে ঠিকাদার নিয়োগের বিষয়ে চীন রাজি হয়েছে। তবে রাজশাহী ওয়াসার প্রকল্পের ক্ষেত্রে এটি প্রযোজ্য হবে না। সাধারণত কোনো প্রকল্পের জন্য ঋণ প্রস্তাব দিলে চীনা কর্তৃপক্ষই ওই নির্দিষ্ট প্রকল্পের জন্য চীনা ঠিকাদার চূড়ান্ত করে দেয়। ওই ঠিকাদারই কাজটি সম্পন্ন করে থাকে। দরপত্রের মাধ্যমে একাধিক ঠিকাদার থেকে একটি ঠিকাদারি প্রতিষ্ঠান বাছাই করার সুযোগ থাকে না।

লিমিটেড টেন্ডারিং মেথড (এলটিএম) পদ্ধতিতে কোনো প্রকল্পে ঠিকাদার নিয়োগের জন্য দরপত্র আহ্বান করলে শুধু চীনা ঠিকাদারেরা অংশ নেবেন। ওই দরপত্রের অংশ নেওয়া একাধিক ঠিকাদারের মধ্যে একটি ঠিকাদারি প্রতিষ্ঠানকে চূড়ান্তভাবে বাছাই করা হবে। বর্তমানে ভারতের লাইন অব ক্রেডিটের (এলওসি) মাধ্যমে নেওয়া প্রকল্পে এলটিএম পদ্ধতিতে ভারতীয় ঠিকাদার ঠিক করা হয়।

বাণিজ্যিক চুক্তি করতেই দুই থেকে আড়াই বছর

চীনা ঋণে যত প্রকল্প নেওয়া হয়েছে, সবগুলোর বাণিজ্যিক চুক্তি করতেই দুই থেকে আড়াই বছর সময় চলে গেছে। ইআরডি সূত্রে জানা গেছে, একটি প্রকল্পে ঋণের জন্য চীনের এক্সিম ব্যাংকে প্রস্তাব পাঠানো হলে চীনা কর্তৃপক্ষ প্রথমে প্রকল্পের সম্ভাব্য অর্থনৈতিক সুবিধা বিবেচনা করে সিদ্ধান্ত নেয়।

এরপর ঋণ দেওয়ার বিষয়ে একমত হলে এক ঠিকাদারি প্রতিষ্ঠানকে বাংলাদেশের ওই প্রকল্প বাস্তবায়নকারী মন্ত্রণালয় বা সংস্থার সঙ্গে যোগাযোগ করিয়ে দেয়। উভয় পক্ষ বসে পুরো প্রকল্পের নকশা ও কার্যপরিকল্পনা চূড়ান্ত করার পর বাণিজ্যিক চুক্তি হয়। এভাবে পুরো কাজটি করতে প্রায় দুই থেকে আড়াই বছর সময় চলে যায়।

মোট ১৮৫৪ কোটি ডলারের ঋণচুক্তি

গত ১০ বছরে চীনের কাছ থেকে কঠিন শর্তে ঋণ নিয়ে ১২টি প্রকল্প বাস্তবায়ন করছে বাংলাদেশ। প্রকল্পগুলোর অন্যতম হলো কর্ণফুলী নদীর তলদেশ দিয়ে বহু লেন সড়ক টানেল নির্মাণ; শাহজালাল সার কারখানা; দাশেরকান্দি পয়োবর্জ্য শোধনাগার; ইনফো সরকার-৩; ঢাকা-আশুলিয়া এলিভেটেড এক্সপ্রেসওয়ে নির্মাণ; মডার্নাইজেশন অব টেলিকমিউনিকেশন নেটওয়ার্ক ফর ডিজিটাল কানেকশন; বিদ্যুৎ নেটওয়ার্ক সম্প্রসারণ ও বিতরণ; অন্যতম।

এসব প্রকল্পে সব মিলিয়ে ১ হাজার ৮৫৪ কোটি ডলারের ঋণ চুক্তি হয়েছে। এ পর্যন্ত দেড় হাজার কোটি ডলার ছাড় হয়ে গেছে। চীনের ঋণগুলোর একটি ছাড়া বাকি ১১টির সুদের হার সোয়া ২ শতাংশ এবং গ্রেস পিরিয়ডসহ ঋণ পরিশোধের মেয়াদ ১৫ বছর।

ইতিমধ্যে শাহজালাল সার কারখানা, পদ্মা-যশলদিয়া পানি শোধনাগার ও তথ্য প্রযুক্তি খাতের উন্নয়ন—এ তিন প্রকল্পে পাঁচ বছর গ্রেস পিরিয়ড শেষ হয়ে যাওয়ায় ঋণ পরিশোধ শুরু হয়ে গেছে। এ পর্যন্ত ১০০ কোটি ডলারের মতো ঋণ পরিশোধ হয়েছে।

সূত্রঃ প্রথম আলো

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Loan contract awards remain below targets, holding back project growth: ADB

Infographic: TBS

Infographic: TBS

Loan contract awards for development projects were below the targets both in 2021 and 2022, and more significant efforts are required by all agencies to expedite the procurement and implementation process, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) says.

On loan disbursement, achievement in 2021 was better but 2022 missed to meet the annual target, it points out in its background paper presented at a review meeting in Dhaka yesterday.

For 2023, ADB’s loan contract awards target has been set at $886.9 million, whereas the disbursement target is $1,339.4 million.

In 2022, the annual contract award was $706.1 million (83.4%) against $846.8 million target, and the disbursement $1,147.4 million (96.2%) against $1,192.7 million target. In 2021, the achievements were 84.9% and 107.6%, respectively.

However, given the improved Covid-19 situation, several options will be explored to capitalise the optimistic outlook, the ADB said at the Tripartite Portfolio Review Meeting.

The first such review meeting in 2023 for ADB-funded projects was co-chaired by Economic Relations Division Secretary Sharifa Khan; ADB’s Deputy Director General for South Asia Department Cindy Malvicini and ADB’s Country Director Edimon Ginting.

The meeting confirmed the contract awards and disbursement targets for 2023 and reviewed the status of time-bound actions agreed at the 15 September 2022 review meeting to expedite overall implementation process.

Infographic: TBS

Infographic: TBS

The sector-wise analysis of contract awards and disbursement targets and achievements as of 31 December 2022 shows energy was below 50% of annual contract award targets and agriculture, natural resources and rural development sectors scored 80% below the targets.

Energy had the lowest achievement in disbursement (79%), while all other sectors were overachieved or above 80% of their annual disbursement targets, it finds.

The ADB has rated five projects “at risk” in December quarter last year from low rates in contract awards and disbursements. The lender’s country office maintains an advance alert system to share the monthly performance status with the project teams for improvement.

Since infrastructure projects compose about two-thirds of the ADB’s portfolio in Bangladesh involving large procurement components, delays in purchases have adversely impacted the overall project performance, says the global lender.

“Several packages were delayed for contract awards or disbursement, thus seriously impacting the project performance,” it writes, stating that improving the procurement activities remains a major challenge to improve the ADB’s project implementation.

As of 10 March, the lenders’ Bangladesh portfolio stood at $11.89 billion for 50 projects in six sectors, with transport and energy comprising 52% of the total portfolio. There are 35 ongoing Technical Assistance projects with a value of $49.45 million.

Over the last five years, Bangladesh’s ADB portfolio has grown with a compound annual growth rate of 7.35% and annual lending is projected to grow rapidly in coming years. Expected commitments in 2023 and 2024 are $2.5 billion in each year, according to the ADB background paper prepared for yesterday’s meeting.

An analysis of procurement lead time of the ADB portfolio for the last three years (2020-2022) shows transport, and education and health sectors have decreasing trend in procurement time, whereas this has increased in agriculture, natural resources and rural development sectors.

Also, it is noted that procurement time in energy, water and other urban infrastructure sectors have improved.

In overall, procurement time in 2022 was 214 days for $1 million dollar packages, better than 260 days in 2021 due to the less impact caused by Covid-19.

The average end-to-end procurement time for eight contracts of more than $10 million has improved in 2022 to 341 days compared to 455 days in 2021, still well above the ADB’s South Asia Department average of 326 days.

The procurement time in Khulna Wasa, Roads and Highways Department, and Bangladesh Water Development Board are longer, mainly due to limited procurement capacity and delays in internal approval process, the lender states in its background paper.

To further reduce procurement lead time by 10% in 2023, a procurement officer is assigned for monitoring the process at executing and implementing agencies, and project team, it states.

It also proposes specific action plans, including use of a post review process and capacity building for implementing agencies and contractors, to reduce the procurement period further this year.

The lender has also kept an eye on the financial management of the projects it funds as it sorts out audit observations for review and resolutions.

“Improved awareness on financial due diligence of project staff and auditors are needed to avoid or minimize such observations,” which include violation of public procurement regulations, excess payment to contractors, payment beyond DPP/RDPP allocation, VAT and IT related issues, the lender has said, linking some observations to the inconsistencies between government process and ADB guidelines.

As of 10 March 2023, 2% of outstanding 832 observations have been settled. It expects good progress in the rest 9 months of the year.

ADB has attached more importance to safeguards requirements after the incident incurred in Greater Dhaka Sustainable Urban Transport Project on 15 August 2022. Contractors are required to plan and ensure Occupational Health and Safety (OHS) Management in project sites.

ADB has appointed an international OHS consultant for BRT project to improve OHS issues at construction sites and large infrastructure projects have been advised to appoint the officials as OHS focal.

ADB identifies various challenges that delay the procurement process and recruitment of consultants. Those include quality of design and specification; quality of bid documents, outdated cost estimate, lack of clarity in bill of quantities, and conditions of contract and/or terms of references. Capacity and procurement experience of executing and implementing agencies, approval lead time within the government system, and inadequate market assessment often lead to low bidders’ participation or higher bid prices, causing procurement failure and rebidding and ultimately resulting in project delays.

Reviewing 121-time bound actions agreed on the previous tripartite meeting held six months ago, the ADB finds 82% or 99 actions were fully complied as of 10 March. Energy, transport and agriculture sectors showed best compliance, followed by water and urban, finance, and education and health sectors, it finds, relating non-compliance to gas supply issue, delay in approval and procurement, non-availability of road cutting permission etc.

The Lowdown

Food import cost ballooning owing to scanty local output

Although Bangladesh has almost achieved self-sufficiency in rice production, its dependence on the international market remains high for food items with import cost rising two and a half times to Tk 80,800 crore from a decade ago.

The country, which produced 3.81 crore tonnes of rice in the fiscal year of 2021-22, had to spend the money to buy rice, wheat, spices, edible oil, oil seeds, pulses, sugar and dairy and milk products, according to Bangladesh Bank data.

In the first seven months of the current fiscal year, private and public agencies coughed up Tk 50,000 crore to import food items, an increase of 10.5 per cent from a year ago.

This would be the fourth year in a row that Bangladesh has paid a higher amount to import essential foods to meet its domestic consumption amid inadequate local production.

Agricultural analysts say the country’s import dependence has remained high in the absence of focus from policymakers to diversify agricultural production through a planned use of its 88.29 lakh hectares of cultivable land in a bid to cut import dependence.

As rice is a “politically sensitive commodity”, successive governments gave priority to increasing its production and directed more resources to research to develop improved varieties of the crop and take them to farmers in order to ensure staple security.

They say the options for diversified agricultural production have either not been used or less explored. As a result, other crops and foods, namely oilseeds, pulses and dairy, did not get an adequate push from the policy level. This caused the country to remain dependent on the global market for these commodities.

As rice is a “politically sensitive commodity”, successive governments gave priority to increasing its production and directed more resources to research to develop improved varieties of the crop and take them to farmers in order to ensure staple security. Photo: Star/file

The reliance has augmented although the international market itself suffered from a supply shortfall and subsequent price volatility owing to the export restrictions imposed by producing countries.

For example, in the weeks following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022, several countries introduced export restrictions, including licencing requirements, taxes, and some outright bans, on a variety of feed and food products.

These fueled war-related disruptions in global markets and contributed to higher prices and deepened price volatility, according to a blog post on the website of the International Food Policy Research Institute.

Mohammad Jahangir Alam, a professor at the Department of Agribusiness and Marketing at the Bangladesh Agricultural University in Mymensingh, said although Bangladesh follows the principles of an open market economy, it should concentrate on its domestic production.

“Unless we do that, how could we handle situations like the Covid-19 pandemic and the dollar crisis?” he asked.

Bangladesh has been suffering a shortage of US dollars for the last one year due to spiralling import costs of various commodities.

“Bangladesh should adopt a long-term plan by prioritising major food commodities to reduce the import dependency,” Prof Alam said.

Wais Kabir, a former executive chairman of the Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council, said considering its political dimension, governments had to stress increasing rice production and availability.

“So, we are doing considerably well in rice.”

There are 300 agricultural scientists working full-time on rice in the country. The number of scientists dedicated to other commodities is not that high.

Kabir said not all food commodities can be produced in Bangladesh because of its agro-climatic limitations, lesser availability of land and global competitiveness.

“This is true for other countries as well. So, we need to import to some extent and it may grow as the income of consumers grows.”

Kabir, however, thinks that the production of food commodities can be increased in certain areas, namely the southern coastal region, through proper water management.

“This will need strong collaboration among the concerned ministries.”

According to Kabir, Bangladesh can reduce the import of pulses by increasing the cultivation of the newly developed short-duration mung bean in the southern belt.

He cited that the government took development projects to incentivise growers with quality seeds and intensify extension efforts to increase the production of crops such as pulses, spices and oilseeds.

Bangladesh also has good prospects in diversified dairy products thanks to the increasing milk production by the expanding dairy industry.

“The government should patronise private operators to raise high-end dairy output like cheese and butter. This will require technical efficiency to compete with the competitors in the market,” said Kabir.

Anwar Faruque, a former agriculture secretary, said, “There is no alternative to giving importance to the production of import substitute foods.”

Of the eight major commodities, edible oil and oil seeds account for a major portion of the import cost.

Faruque said the government can devise a plan to encourage the use of rice bran oil as it could be easily produced by auto rice mills.

“Currently, we can utilise 20 per cent of the rice bran produced in the country. The rest 80 per cent is going outside of the country.”

MA Sattar Mandal, a former vice-chancellor of the Bangladesh Agricultural University, suggested diversification of production through increased use of technologies.

“This will facilitate raising production and bringing down imports.”

The government is taking a Tk 7,214-crore project to modernise and improve the agriculture sector.

“This will enhance the diversified production of crops,” said Prof Alam.

In Bangladesh, about 73 per cent of cropland is currently used for rice cultivation, down from more than 80 per cent in the past.

“This is positive. But the main challenge is to increase productivity,” Prof Alam said.

“After ensuring high productivity of rice, we will have to focus on other high-value crops.”

Agriculture Minister Muhammad Abdur Razzaque said: “Bangladesh is not the lone country that is facing a high cost for importing foods. Other countries are also facing the same situation.”

He said every year, around 20 lakh people are added to the population, which means a higher requirement for food. At the same, the arable land is decreasing gradually for non-agricultural use such as building houses.

“This is a challenge. As the land is shrinking, scientists are trying to develop high-yield varieties of crops.”

According to the minister, Bangladesh does not have a favourable climate for increasing wheat production, so the country needs to rely on imports.

He describes maize and mustard as very promising crops.

In the past, it was difficult to grow mustard after the aman harvesting because of the long duration of the paddy.

Earlier, it took 140-160 days for the aman paddy to be ready for harvesting. Now, scientists have developed a new variety of the crop, which could be harvested in 110-115 days.

“This has created the scope for mustard cultivation after the aman harvest,” Razzaque said.

Scientists have also developed improved varieties of mustard with yields standing at eight to nine maunds per acre.

“Our mustard cultivation target has exceeded this year. We want to reduce edible oil imports by half by the next three years,” the agriculture minister said.

He said there are some high-yielding varieties of pulses.

“These are already being grown. I hope they will bring good results.”

Source: The Daily Star
page_1_labour-force-survey

Unemployment drops to 3.6% on increased women’s participation

Infographic: TBS

Infographic: TBS

The unemployment rate in Bangladesh declined to 3.6% in 2022 mainly riding on an upward trend in women’s and youths’ participation, down from 4.2% reported in the previous survey conducted in 2016-17, shows the latest Labour Force Survey by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).

The number of unemployed people in the country has decreased by 70,000 over the past five years, and now stands at 26.30 lakh.

Employment in Bangladesh refers to a situation where individuals who do work for a wage, salary, commission, tips or any other pay, even if only for one hour in the previous week. If the answer is “no” then the person is unemployed, according to BBS.

The latest survey revealed a shift in employment trends, with more people engaged in farm activities and service sector, while employment in industries dropped.

Women’s participation in the workforce has increased in 2022, which is reflected at the national level.

Also, youth labour force increases, which could lead to economic growth and increased competitiveness.

The survey, which was released on Wednesday in presence of the minister and the state minister for planning, was the first-ever quarterly survey, conducted in Bangladesh, and the country will continue to conduct such surveys going forward.

According to the Labour Force Survey 2022, the total labour force is 73.41 million, including 47.48 million males and 25.93 million females. And a 9.91 million labour force has joined the market in the last five years.

The survey shows that the total population outside the labour force aged 15 and above is 46.9 million. And the population outside the labour force has increased by 1.4 million over the past five years.

Prof Selim Raihan, executive director of Sanem, said this unemployment figure may not accurately reflect the true level of unemployment in the country due to the prevalence of underemployment and informal employment.

“If underemployment is taken into account, unemployed people will be around 1 crore instead of 26 lakh,” he told The Business Standard.

According to Raihan, an economics professor at Dhaka University, youth unemployment is a matter of significant concern, given that the previous survey showed a rate of 10%, which is much higher than the overall unemployment rate of 4.2%.

Commenting on the survey, both Planning Minister MA Mannan and State Minister for Planning Shamsul Alam said that the poverty of the country has decreased during the pandemic and the rate of unemployment has also dropped at the same time.

MA Mannan referred to a survey conducted by the state-owned think tank Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS) during the Covid transition period, which shows the poverty rate and extreme poverty rate in Dhaka city decreased during the pandemic.

“Because factories were not closed 100% in our country during the Covid pandemic. Lockdowns were enforced at a limited scale. At the same time, government incentives were introduced. And it has played a role in reducing poverty,” he added.

Shamsul Alam said, “Covid has taught us a new kind of lesson and played a role in reducing the number of unemployed.”

Labour force in agriculture increased

According to the survey, the total working population as of 2022 is 70.78 million, of which males are 45.79 million and females are 24.99 million.

The labour force employed in the agricultural sector has increased to 45.33% from 40.6% in the fiscal 2016-17.

People employed in the industrial sector decreased from 20.4% to 17.02%, while employment in the service sector increased from 23.7% to 26.65%.

In this context, the state minister for planning said that even if there is a decrease in employment in the industrial sector, it is temporary. Employment in the agricultural sector will decrease at some point.

During the Covid-19 pandemic, a significant portion of city people migrated to villages and engaged in some productive work. As a result, employment in farm activities has increased. New crops and fruits are now being produced in the country, he added.

“Employment in our manufacturing industry including RMG has been stuck at 40 lakh for many years,” he said, explaining reasons why overall employment in manufacturing sector has not increased

Md Ehsan-E-Elahi, secretary of the labour and employment ministry, ‍said, “Now industries are not getting enough  workers, especially skilled workers. Many, including BGMEA and BKMEA have expressed concerns about this.”

Female participation

Female participation in Bangladesh’s labour force has increased to 42.68% in 2022, up from 36.3% five years ago, with women getting engaged in work in a bigger way especially in rural areas.

Rural participation of women in work is 50.88% and 23.58% in urban areas,  says the BBS survey.

Shamsul Alam said Bangladesh has surpassed India and Pakistan in female labour participation. “This is our new dimension. Female labour participation in Bangladesh is almost double that of these two neighbouring countries.”

Planning Minister Mannan also hailed higher participation of women in work, saying Bangladesh is the best in South Asia in terms of female labour participation.

“It is good for our economy. But housewives were not considered as a labour force here. If the work done by housewives were added, our GDP would have increased in size. Many developed countries of the world are valuing the work of housewives,” the minister said.

Capture

রোজায় বাড়ছে প্রবাস আয়, দৈনিক এসেছে ৬ কোটি ৬৬ লাখ ডলার!

ঈদ সামনে রেখে সব সময়ই স্বাভাবিক সময়ের তুলনায় রেমিট্যান্স তথা প্রবাস আয় বাড়ে। এবারও এর ব্যতিক্রম হচ্ছে না। রোজার শুরুতেই বেড়েছে রেমিট্যান্সপ্রবাহ। চলতি মার্চ মাসের ২৪ তারিখ পর্যন্ত বৈধ বা ব্যাংকিং চ্যানেলে প্রায় ১৬০ কোটি ডলার সমপরিমাণ অর্থ দেশে এসেছে। এই হিসাবে দৈনিক গড়ে এসেছে ছয় কোটি ৬৬ লাখ ডলার।

গত বছরের মার্চে দৈনিক গড়ে রেমিট্যান্স এসেছিল ছয় কোটি ডলারের মতো। চলমান ধারা অব্যাহত থাকলে চলতি মাস শেষে রেমিট্যান্স দুই বিলিয়ন ডলার ছাড়াবে। গতকাল সোমবার কেন্দ্রীয় ব্যাংকের প্রকাশিত হালনাগাদ পরিসংখ্যানে এই তথ্য জানা গেছে।

কেন্দ্রীয় ব্যাংকের তথ্য পর্যালোচনা করে দেখা গেছে, চলতি মাসের প্রথম ২৪ দিনে রেমিট্যান্স এসেছে ১৫৯ কোটি ৭৫ লাখ ৩০ হাজার মার্কিন ডলার। তার মধ্যে রাষ্ট্রায়ত্ত ব্যাংকগুলোর মাধ্যমে ১৯ কোটি ৫৬ লাখ ৭০ হাজার ডলার, বিশেষায়িত একটি ব্যাংকের মাধ্যমে তিন কোটি ৫৪ লাখ ৭০ হাজার মার্কিন ডলার, বেসরকারি ব্যাংকগুলোর মাধ্যমে এসেছে ১৩৬ কোটি ১৫ লাখ ৪০ হাজার ডলার এবং বিদেশি ব্যাংকগুলোর মাধ্যমে এসেছে ৪৮ লাখ ৫০ হাজার মার্কিন ডলার রেমিট্যান্স।

এদিকে রেমিট্যান্স বাড়াতে কেন্দ্রীয় ব্যাংক বিভিন্ন উদ্যোগ নিয়েছে। বৈধ পথে রেমিট্যান্স পাঠাতে বিভিন্নভাবে উৎসাহ দিয়ে যাচ্ছে কেন্দ্রীয় ব্যাংক। সর্বশেষ সেবার বিনিময়ে দেশে রেমিট্যান্স আয় আনতে ফরম সি পূরণ করার শর্ত শিথিল করেছে। পাশাপাশি সেবা খাতের উদ্যোক্তা ও রপ্তানিকারকদের ঘোষণা ছাড়াই ২০ হাজার মার্কিন ডলার বা সমপরিমাণ বৈদেশিক মুদ্রা দেশে আনার সুযোগ দেওয়া হয়েছে।

কেন্দ্রীয় ব্যাংকের তথ্য বলছে, চলতি ২০২২-২৩ অর্থবছরের প্রথম আট মাসে (জুলাই থেকে ফেব্রুয়ারি পর্যন্ত) মোট রেমিট্যান্স এসেছে এক হাজার ৪০১ কোটি ৩৩ লাখ মার্কিন ডলার। আগের অর্থবছরের একই সময়ে রেমিট্যান্স এসেছিল এক হাজার ৩৪৩ কেটি ৮৫ লাখ মার্কিন ডলার।

সুত্রঃ কালের কন্ঠ 
Non Bank Financial

NBFIs lose over 48,500 deposit accounts in 3 months

Non-bank financial institutions

Non-bank financial institutions in Bangladesh lost 48,637 deposit accounts in the three months to December as savers moved away from NBFIs owing to the imposition of the cap on the deposit rate and the erosion of confidence in the wake of allegations of irregularities at some banks.

The NBFIs had 521,559 deposit accounts in the last month of 2022, down from 570,196 three months ago, according to the quarterly NBFI statistics released by the Bangladesh Bank last week.

“Many deposit customers withdrew funds from NBFIs after the central bank capped the interest rate on deposits at 7 per cent in July last year whereas banks are offering more than that. This was one of the factors for the drop,” said Kanti Kumar Saha, chief executive officer of Lankan Alliance Finance.

Besides, insiders say, concerns regarding the health of the banking sector amid allegations of loan scams deepened the withdrawal pressure in the second half of 2022.

However, the overall deposit in the NBFIs grew 5.21 per cent to Tk 43,752 crore in the October-December quarter.

Average deposit per account was up 15 per cent to Tk 8.39 lakh from Tk 7.29 lakh during the period.

Md Golam Sarwar Bhuiyan, managing director of Industrial and Infrastructure Development Finance Company Ltd, says the dollar crisis has had an impact on deposits as some corporate depositors pulled funds to open letters of credit by providing up to 100 per cent margin.

“Besides, a section of depositors withdrew funds owing to the panic created following reports regarding the health of a number of Islamic banks,” he said.

A number of Shariah-based banks have faced loan-related scams in recent months.

The deposit situation has, however, changed in the first quarter of 2023, according to industry people.

“We are witnessing better deposit growth in the first quarter this year compared to the October-December quarter,” added Bhuiyan, also the chairman of the Bangladesh Leasing and Finance Companies Association (BLFCA).

In Bangladesh, there are 35 NBFIs, which include three state-run institutions. Collectively, they have 308 branches.

Central bank data showed that the number of loan accounts declined in the fourth quarter of 2022. Average advances per account rose 2.45 per cent, however.

Loan disbursement by the NBFIs decreased 1.80 per cent to Tk 5,691 crore in October-December compared to the previous quarter. The decline stood at 10 per cent year-on-year.

Bhuiyan blamed the slower deposit flow for the reduction in loan disbursement.

Saha said 2021 was a better year for the NBFI sector as inflation was lower and there was no ceiling on deposit and lending rates, resulting in a higher interest rate spread. But 2022 saw soaring consumer prices and a curb on the interest rate, which affected the deposit flow.

“If the deposit growth is negative, how will the lending grow?” he questioned.

The risk of defaults amid the ongoing economic slowdown, driven by the disruptions because of the Russia-Ukraine war and the coronavirus pandemic, is another factor.

“Banks and NBFIs are cautiously lending to avoid risks,” said Saha, also the vice-chairman of the BLFCA.

According to the central bank, 39.26 per cent of the loans in the NBFI sector went to the industrial sector in the fourth quarter. The trade and commerce sector accounted for 22.28 per cent of the credit disbursed while consumer finance represented 20.96 per cent.

remittance-2

Banks offer higher than fixed rate to remitters to build forex

The volatile foreign exchange market turns out to be a blessing for remitters, but a challenging impediment for importers and eventually consumers.

According to bankers, remitters are receiving as much as Tk114 for a dollar along with a 2.5% cash incentive from the government.

This rate is much higher than the Tk107, agreed upon by the Bangladesh Foreign Exchange Dealers Association (Bafeda) and the Association of Bankers, Bangladesh (ABB) in September last year.

Out of the country’s 61 banks, at least 20 are offering higher rates for a dollar than the agreed rate in order to meet the demand for the greenback.

But they are not showing their actual offered rates in balance sheets, a number of top bankers and treasury officials, who chose to remain anonymous, told The Business Standard.

The banks which are not offering higher rates are receiving fewer remittances.

“You can see it in banks’ monthly inward remittance flow. A bank that channelled $2 million in February last year, fetched a whopping $45 million in February this year mainly because of offering higher rates,” the head of the treasury department of a private bank told The Business Standard (TBS).

“Nothing significant happened in these banks over the last year which will increase their remittance flow more than 20 times. Higher rates are behind the surge, which is destabilising the forex market,” he added.

Infographic: TBS

Infographic: TBS

Bangladesh Bank data shows all the banks of the country together brought in remittances of $1.56 billion in February, up 4.47% year-on-year.

However, the bank-wise picture of the year-on-year growth is widely uneven. Some banks have exceeded 100% year-on-year growth and a couple of them showed a growth of over 1,000%, according to central bank data.

On the other hand, some banks saw a significant decrease in remittance income compared to the same period last year, as they declined to offer a higher exchange rate for the dollar.

Earlier, the ABB and Bafeda in a meeting on 11 September last year fixed Tk108 per dollar of remittances. The initiative was taken after the rate went up to Tk114-115 with each bank offering different rates. To control it, a fixed rate was agreed upon under the direct supervision of the central bank. Later, the rate was reduced to Tk107 in two phases. This was followed by a drop in monthly remittance inflow by around $500 million.

However, in January this year, some banks began increasing their remittance exchange rates. Bafeda and ABB in a joint meeting on 18 January warned banks not to offer more than they agreed in September. Letters were also sent to the managing directors of all banks. In response, some banks stopped bringing remittances at higher rates, but others continued to offer higher rates.

The number of banks, offering high rates, has increased in March with the rest planning to follow suit. To address this issue, a meeting of the executive committee of Bafeda was held last Friday.

How are banks paying high rates for remittance?

Banks are resorting to various strategies for paying higher rates for dollar against remittance, said senior officials of at least seven banks.

“For instance, some banks deliver the excess amount, resulting from paying above the rate of Tk107 per dollar, to exchange houses separately,” a deputy managing director of a private bank told TBS.

According to this strategy, the bank first comes to an agreement with the exchange house to buy dollars at a higher price than the fixed rate. The exchange house keeps the rate at Tk107 in the ledger while delivering the dollars sought by the bank, even though the bank agreed to the rate of Tk112-114, he said.

The bank then pays the remaining amount (calculated on the difference between Tk107 and Tk112-14 per dollar) to the exchange house in cash or through a bank transaction. At present, a large proportion of those buying remittances at higher rates follow this method, the bank official said.

Many banks are showing this extra payment as “other expenses” in the balance sheet but in reality, channelling remittances at higher rates. This is how banks are able to show a rate of Tk107 per dollar in reporting to the central bank, the official added.

An official of the treasury department of another bank that is bringing remittances at a high rate told TBS that it is not possible to fetch remittances at Tk107 in the current market and by forcing a rate will throw the market further into trouble.

Between September and December last year, monthly inflow of remittances was around $1.5 billion, down from $2 billion in previous months’ average, due to lower exchange rates. Remittances rose again to around $2 billion in January due to higher rate, he said.

“Besides, according to the conditions of the IMF, our foreign exchange reserves must be increased by about $3 billion by next June to get the next instalment of the $4.7 billion loan. All in all, keeping the remittance dollar rate fixed at Tk107 will reduce our foreign currency flow,” the treasury official added.

How are banks charging up to Tk115 for settling LCs?

Several importers told TBS that many banks are charging up to Tk113-115 for opening import letters of credit (LCs). But, as per the rules, there is no scope to charge a rate above Tk108.

Banks on the other hand are saying that they have to charge more as they are buying at high rates.

Even though banks are charging higher rates for LCs, they are not showing it on their logbooks and resorting to various techniques to conceal it.

Some banks are creating fake loans against the customers to adjust the additional money off the high LC dollar rate, said the treasury official, adding that in this way, 9% interest is charged against fake loans to the customer who settled the LC. This loan money is deposited in the current account of the bank.

How are exporters hiking the dollar rate strategically?

Biswajit Saha, Director of Corporate and Regulatory Affairs at City Group, said, “We are not even getting a dollar for Tk 113-114. Almost all banks are offering a rate of Tk115-116.

“We are obligated to make payments, so we are forced to buy dollars at a higher price,” he told The Business Standard.

A businessman wanted to open an LC to import fruits including apple, grape, and orange from Bhutan. Being a sight LC, the cost of these products was to be paid within 15 days of the opening of the LC. However, the businessman was not getting dollars from the banks at the Bafeda-fixed rate. Later, the importer opened the LC with a private bank on the assurance that the “dollars equivalent to the payment would be brought from an apparel exporter”. This entire process of payment has been done in accordance with the central bank policy, but technically.

A senior officer of the treasury department of the concerned bank involved in the process told TBS, “In this process, the fruit importer himself managed the RMG exporter offering to pay Tk114 per dollar. Later the exporter talked to his bank to encash the proceeds with the condition that the dollars will be sold to another bank. The bank agreed to it as he is a big exporter. The bank then encashed $1 million at the Bafeda-fixed rate of Tk104 and sold it to the importer’s bank at the rate of Tk105. The importer’s bank then sold the dollar to the fruit importer at the rate of Tk106.”

As per the initial agreement between the importer and the exporter, the importer paid Tk80 lakh separately to the exporter an extra Tk8 per dollar, the official said.

In this process, several major exporters are increasing the dollar rate of export proceeds. But small exporters are not able to take advantage of this. They are forced to encash the dollar at the rate of Tk104 fixed by Bafeda.

Who will take action against banks?

It is not yet clear which authoritative body is responsible for taking action against banks that are providing higher rates on remittance.

ABB and Bafeda have not issued any direct statement in this regard. But the organisations wrote to the bank MDs at different times, saying all authorised dealer (AD) banks must comply with the decisions taken in the joint meeting of Bafeda and ABB. Any violation of the above by any bank will be viewed and dealt with strictly by the regulator.

Several office bearers of Bafeda, wishing not to be named, told TBS that Bafeda does not have the authority to take action against any bank. Only the Bangladesh Bank can take measures in this regard.

A committee member, who attended the meeting on Friday, said that although all banks are following the agreed exchange rate for export proceeds, some banks are giving more than the specified rate for remittances.

“We have been hearing such complaints for a long time. As some banks are breaching agreed rates, the central bank has been officially informed of the issue, and it will take appropriate measures,” he said.

On the other hand, the central bank says that ABB and Bafeda will take action against the respective banks if the fixed exchange rate of dollar is not followed.

Bangladesh Bank Spokesperson and Executive Director Md Mezbaul Haque told TBS that banks had $3.6 billion at the end of Tuesday (21 March).

“If there is enough supply of dollars, then why would the banks buy dollars at a higher rate? The central bank did not fix this rate, ABB and Bafeda did. Therefore, if any action is taken in this regard, they have to take it,” Mezbaul Haque added.